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Andrew Patterson
Pumped Storage Sector General Manager
As electricity demand surges and intermittent renewable generation introduces greater variability to power flows on the grid, the need for flexible, long-duration (20-30+ hours), dispatchable energy storage has never been more urgent.
Pumped storage hydropower (PSH) has delivered energy storage capacity and transmission benefits to the United States since the 1920s. Today, are operational nationwide, providing 97% of the country鈥檚 utility-scale energy storage.
By 2050, the U.S. will require an estimated 鈥攎ore than double what exists today鈥攖o meet growing energy security and grid stability needs. However, realizing this potential is far from straightforward. PSH projects are among the most complex infrastructure undertakings鈥攄emanding not only technical excellence but, crucially, a foundation of trust, transparency, and collaboration among all delivery stakeholders.
Key Challenges Facing PSH Development
- Prolonged Development Timelines Introduce Additional Uncertainty:
- PSH projects take at least 4-5 years to develop (some have taken over a decade), far exceeding typical investment horizons, limiting the number and type of potential developers.
- Delays and cancellations have further eroded market confidence amid a dynamic policy environment.
- Costs and Complex Risks Create Investment Barriers:
- Multi-phase design, geotechnical investigations, permitting, and execution planning drive up development costs and risks.
- Potential investors and project champions are hesitant to enter the market due to high costs and risks.
- Misaligned Commercial Structures Undermine PSH鈥檚 Value:
- Despite PSH鈥檚 unmatched operational flexibility and lifecycle cost advantages, its unique risk profile (including significant underground, geotechnical, and integration risks) requires tailored commercial frameworks.
- Poorly aligned contracts can lead to inflated outturn costs through conservative assumptions, excessive contingencies, claims and resequencing, reduced engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) engagement, and financing challenges. Ultimately, this misalignment erodes trust, accountability, and the full potential value of PSH.
Prerequisites for Success: Partnership and Collaboration
Globally, PSH champions increasingly recognize that overcoming such barriers requires trust and transparent, proactive collaboration among developers, owners, engineers, contractors, and Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs). With a foundation of partnership in place, project teams are far better positioned to navigate complexity, accelerate delivery, and maximize value鈥攖ruly operating as one team.
At 91制片厂, we believe early investments in building trust and confidence among stakeholders are critical. Through the International Hydropower Association鈥檚 Working Group on De-risking Pumped Storage, we took a leading role in convening developers, owners, engineers, financiers, and policymakers to confront the unique risks associated with PSH and collaborate on to address them.
The following recommendations outline how early alignment, thoughtful planning, and tailored commercial structures鈥攇rounded in trust and transparency鈥攃an help stakeholders unlock and successfully deliver PSH projects.
1. Select and Align with Partners Early
Stakeholder engagement is a cornerstone of effective project planning. Early stakeholder engagement is critical to avoid rework, delays, and misalignment. We recommend that project development establish a successful project culture from day one by including:
- Early vetting, selection, and alignment of key delivery partners鈥攄esigners, contractors, OEMs, and insurers
- Experienced teams, proven processes, and deep lessons learned
At 91制片厂, we deploy proven tools and processes to support early collaboration, such as:
- Safety and constructability reviews that optimize design for autonomous and semi-autonomous equipment (e.g., earthworks, tunnelling, and logistics). These reduce the number of personnel underground and near heavy equipment, eliminating safety hazards before they materialize.
- Mobile Equipment Personnel Interface (MEPI) plans tailored to each project to enhance safety and operational efficiency.
- Experienced teams and structured lessons learned, drawn from 叠别肠丑迟别濒鈥檚 extensive megaproject portfolio, to guide early decision making and de-risking.
2. Plan with Foresight and Efficiency
Given the long timelines and multi-billion-dollar budgets, PSH projects demand thoughtful, streamlined planning. To shorten development cycles and improve efficiency in planning, we recommend:
- A gated process for progressing design, planning for execution, and estimating
- Structured expert reviews across disciplines throughout the development
- Integrated planning to identify issues before they escalate
叠别肠丑迟别濒鈥檚 PSH and Hydro Playbook brings together decades of lessons learned in megaproject delivery, along with our deep engineering and construction expertise in a structured, gated development process. We are also investing in digital and AI-supported design and construction planning, enabling earlier modelling of design and execution scenarios.
3. Align Commercial Structures with Project Realities
PSH projects require a tailored commercial model and should reflect the collaborative foundation of the project. We believe that successful commercial strategies share these key principles:
- Robust risk identification and assessment
- Balanced incentives
- Right-sized contingency planning
Transparent risk assessments and cost estimates help ensure project budgets are realistic and provide greater certainty of outcome. We advocate for models that utilize concepts such as target cost compensation and change provisions based on a Geotechnical Baseline Report鈥攚hich build trust and accountability among all stakeholders.
Partnership is the Key to Unlocking PSH
PSH is foundational to the future of energy security and grid stability in the U.S. To unlock the next wave of PSH development, stakeholders must embrace a partnership-first approach. By building trust, aligning early, planning efficiently and robustly, and structuring contracts responsibly, we can deliver PSH projects that meet the needs of tomorrow鈥檚 grid and deliver lasting value to consumers.
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Andrew Patterson
Pumped Storage Sector General Manager